Monday, June 12, 2006

Winning Two

We did what I expected. We won the first two games. Now we have to walk into Miami and show them what's up.

Dirk and J-Ho both pulled down double-digit rebounds while shooting 50% from the field. Stack put together one of the best 10-point streaks I've seen. And besides the beginning of the 4th, when we decided to waste time and stop playing hard, we dominated Miami. Their faces said it all.

Game 3 is a must-win for Miami. I expect them to put together their best game. If Dallas wins, this series will be over. As a Miami player, it is easy to accept these 2 losses by saying, "Dallas did what they were 'sposed to. Now we have to hold our court." The problem is that Dallas is more than capable of winning on the road. You HAVE to win all of your home games. If you lose just one, this series becomes very difficult. If it's Game 3, you're down 3-0 and you have nothing positive to build on for Game 4. If you win Game 3, but lose Game 4, you're down 3-1, and you couldn't put together a pair of wins. Not only will you have to win 3 straight to not lose this series, but 2 of those games will be in Dallas, where you haven't won.

What's more likely? Dallas wins 2 of the next 5 games, or Miami wins 4 of the next 5? And for anyone who picked Miami in 6, do you expect them to win the next 4, given the way they've played in the first 2 games?

If Dallas wins Game 3, they will sweep. Otherwise, I expect Dallas to finish this in 6. (I predicted Mavs in 6 the day before Game 1.)

By the way, Dirk's B-Day is between Game 5 and Game 6. Fitting, eh?

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